Construction output set to drag on GDP growth

Published:  11 January, 2018

ONS figures show that construction output in November rose by 0.4% in both monthly and annual terms. However, monthly data are volatile and on a rolling three-month basis, output declined 2.0%. This was the largest fall since August 2012.

Rebecca Larkin, Senior Economist at the Construction Products Association, said: “The data confirm what has been signalled by early indicators and industry surveys – that construction ended 2017 on a weak note. Past falls in new orders, particularly in the commercial and public non-housing sectors, now appear to filtering through into lower volumes of work. On a three-month basis, commercial output fell 5.4%.

“It now looks impossible that the industry avoided a full quarter of contraction in Q4, with the £30 billion private housing sector contributing the only positive story. Therefore, construction is set to have caused a drag on overall UK economic growth during the quarter."

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